Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
