Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
