Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.
