Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
