Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.
