SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Magdeburg |
48.84% ( -1.76) | 21.95% ( 0.52) | 29.21% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 66.04% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.39% ( -1.68) | 33.61% ( 1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.58% ( -1.94) | 55.42% ( 1.95) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.75% ( -1.16) | 14.25% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.98% ( -2.32) | 42.02% ( 2.33) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( -0.1) | 22.98% ( 0.1) |
