SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
44.5% ( 0.47) | 22.44% ( 0.05) | 33.06% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 66.41% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.97% ( -0.44) | 34.02% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.11% ( -0.5) | 55.89% ( 0.5) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.06% ( 0) | 15.93% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.8% ( 0) | 45.2% ( -0.01) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( -0.48) | 21% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.23% ( -0.76) | 53.77% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 44.5% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.77% Total : 33.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 64 |
| 2 | Heidenheim | 31 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 61 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 57 |
| 4 | St Pauli | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 51 |
| 7 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 45 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Hannover | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Magdeburg | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 37 |
| 14 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 36 |
| 15 | Nuremberg | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
| 16 | Arminia Bielefeld | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Jahn RegensburgJahn | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 28 |
| 18 | SV SandhausenSV Sandhausen | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 28 |
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