SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 55.38%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Magdeburg |
55.38% ( 0.06) | 21.06% ( 0) | 23.56% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.66% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.64% ( -0.1) | 34.36% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.73% ( -0.11) | 56.27% ( 0.11) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( -0.02) | 12.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.52% ( -0.03) | 38.47% ( 0.03) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( -0.1) | 27.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.32% ( -0.13) | 62.68% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.45% 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 55.38% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.06% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 23.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 49 |
| 2 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 40 |
| 5 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | St Pauli | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 38 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 33 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 31 |
| 10 | Hannover | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Magdeburg | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Nuremberg | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 28 |
| 13 | Greuther Furth | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | SV SandhausenSV Sandhausen | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Jahn RegensburgJahn | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
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