Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
