Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Karlsruher SC win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
