Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
