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VN
Venezuela national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
PN
Peru national football team

Venezuela
1 - 0
Peru

Rondon (41' pen.)
Gonzalez (45'), Martinez (47'), Herrera (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zambrano (13'), Aquino (19')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129
All competitions
Last Game: Peru 3-1 Bolivia
Friday, March 21 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129

We said: Venezuela 1-2 Peru

Venezuela and Peru are second and third, respectively, regarding goals allowed in CONMEBOL qualifying, so we expect each side to find the mark on Tuesday, but we believe the momentum of Los Incas will propel them to another triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.19%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawPeru
60.11% (-1.729 -1.73) 25.15% (0.973 0.97) 14.74% (0.76 0.76)
Both teams to score 36.8% (-0.649 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.45% (-1.865 -1.87)62.55% (1.87 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.86% (-1.381 -1.38)82.14% (1.388 1.39)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-1.412 -1.41)20.94% (1.418 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-2.261 -2.26)53.69% (2.267 2.27)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.55% (0.014000000000003 0.01)53.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.07% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)86.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 60.11%
    Peru 14.74%
    Draw 25.15%
VenezuelaDrawPeru
1-0 @ 17.5% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 13.68% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 7.13% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.282 -0.28)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.31 -0.31)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 60.11%
0-0 @ 11.19% (0.76 0.76)
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.68% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.01% (0.475 0.48)
1-2 @ 3.43% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 14.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: USA 3-1 Venezuela
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 4-2 Venezuela
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, November 14 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Argentina
Thursday, October 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 3-1 Bolivia
Friday, March 21 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Peru
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, November 16 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Uruguay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Peru
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America


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