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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
BN

Peru
vs.
Bolivia

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Peru
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127
All competitions
Last Game: Bolivia 2-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, November 19 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127

We say: Peru 1-0 Bolivia

Bolivia's away form goes a long way to explain why they are unfancied here, and their two results on the road suggest that the win in Chile was certainly a one off, and they could struggle again here. Peru must take advantage of that, and under new management, there would be no better start for Ibanez than to claim a victory here that would close the gap on Bolivia to just three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Peru win with a probability of 76.71%. A draw has a probability of 16.7% and a win for Bolivia has a probability of 6.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win is 2-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (15.76%) and 3-0 (12.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (7.33%), while for a Bolivia win it is 0-1 (3.39%).

Result
PeruDrawBolivia
76.71% (-0.605 -0.61) 16.65% (0.618 0.62) 6.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 32.71% (-1.765 -1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.47% (-2.533 -2.53)51.52% (2.527 2.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.67% (-2.25 -2.25)73.32% (2.244 2.24)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)11.64% (0.853 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.31% (-1.875 -1.88)36.68% (1.869 1.87)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.02% (-1.624 -1.62)62.97% (1.618 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.9% (-0.7751 -0.78)92.09% (0.77 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Peru 76.7%
    Bolivia 6.63%
    Draw 16.65%
PeruDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 16.95% (0.54 0.54)
1-0 @ 15.76% (1.02 1.02)
3-0 @ 12.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 6.53% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.329 -0.33)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.291 -0.29)
5-0 @ 2.81% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.153 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.176 -0.18)
6-0 @ 1.01% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 76.7%
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.713 0.71)
1-1 @ 7.29% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 1.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.65%
0-1 @ 3.39% (0.157 0.16)
1-2 @ 1.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 6.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Peru
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, November 16 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Uruguay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Peru
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-1 Colombia
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 2-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, November 19 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 4-0 Bolivia
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 6-0 Bolivia
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 1-0 Colombia
Thursday, October 10 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 4-0 Venezuela
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America


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