SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sudan win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw has a probability of 27% and a win for South Sudan has a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.2%), while for a South Sudan win it is 0-1 (8.51%).
| Result | ||
| Sudan | Draw | South Sudan |
52.75% ( 1) | 27.02% ( -0.23) | 20.23% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 41.05% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.95% ( 0.03) | 62.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.23% ( 0.02) | 81.77% ( -0.02) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( 0.46) | 23.83% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.99% ( 0.66) | 58.01% ( -0.66) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.89% ( -0.84) | 46.11% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.19% ( -0.66) | 81.81% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudan | Draw | South Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 15.76% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 52.74% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.49% Total : 20.23% |
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