SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Sudan has a probability of 11.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 0-1 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (15.16%) and 0-3 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (10.05%), while for a Sudan win it is 1-0 (5.64%).
| Result | ||
| Sudan | Draw | Senegal |
11.45% ( 0.03) | 22.5% ( -0.03) | 66.05% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 35.35% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.32% ( 0.15) | 59.68% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20% ( 0.12) | 80% ( -0.12) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.9% ( 0.15) | 57.1% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.9% ( 0.08) | 89.09% ( -0.08) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.05) | 17.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% ( 0.09) | 48.2% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudan | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.45% | 0-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 17.46% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 15.16% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 8.78% ( -0)1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 66.05% |
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