SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 83.58%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 3.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.68%) and 1-0 (14.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.83%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | South Sudan |
83.58% ( 0.05) | 12.51% ( -0.04) | 3.91% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 28.31% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( 0.18) | 45.95% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.17) | 68.26% ( -0.17) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.56% ( 0.05) | 8.44% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.69% ( 0.13) | 29.31% ( -0.13) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 30.92% ( 0.1) | 69.07% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 5.37% ( 0.04) | 94.63% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | South Sudan |
| 2-0 @ 17.81% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 14.68% 1-0 @ 14.41% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 83.56% | 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 12.51% | 0-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 3.91% |
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