South Africa have improved noticeably in the last 12 to 18 months, particularly in defence, as we saw in the Ivory Coast at the start of the year when they kept five clean sheets in seven AFCON matches. We feel the hosts will edge this result while shutting out the Cranes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw has a probability of 28.6% and a win for Uganda has a probability of 14.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 1-0 with a probability of 21.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.1%) and 2-1 (7.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (15.86%), while for a Uganda win it is 0-1 (8.06%).

Result
South Africa	Draw	Uganda
57.31% ( -0.26)	28.57% ( 0.23)	14.12% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 29.32% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.04% (

-0.44)

71.97% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.54% (

-0.27)

88.47% (

0.28)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

-0.34)

26.37% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49% (

-0.46)

61.52% (

0.46)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.82% (

-0.21)

60.19% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.26% (

-0.11)

90.75% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

South Africa 57.31%

Uganda 14.12%

Draw 28.56%

South Africa	Draw	Uganda
1-0 @ 21.15% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 14.1% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.31%	0-0 @ 15.86% ( 0.26) 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 28.56%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 14.12%