SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rwanda win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw has a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lesotho has a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lesotho win it is 0-1 (5.73%).
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Lesotho |
64.91% ( 0.35) | 22.44% ( -0.16) | 12.65% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 38.5% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.72% ( 0.19) | 57.27% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.88% ( 0.16) | 78.11% ( -0.16) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( 0.19) | 17.14% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.62% ( 0.33) | 47.37% ( -0.33) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.46% ( -0.19) | 53.54% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.01% ( -0.12) | 86.99% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rwanda | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 16.18% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.64% 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 64.9% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.65% |
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