SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rwanda win with a probability of 39.36%. A draw has a probability of 30.6% and a win for Nigeria has a probability of 30.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.45%), while for a Nigeria win it is 0-1 (12.28%).
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Nigeria |
39.36% ( -0.11) | 30.62% ( -0.05) | 30.02% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 39.81% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.5% ( 0.16) | 67.5% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.4% ( 0.1) | 85.6% ( -0.1) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( 0.02) | 33.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.83% ( 0.02) | 70.18% ( -0.02) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.89% ( 0.22) | 40.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.25% ( 0.2) | 76.75% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rwanda | Draw | Nigeria |
| 1-0 @ 14.69% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.36% | 0-0 @ 13.45% ( -0.07) 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.62% | 0-1 @ 12.28% 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 30.01% |
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