SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nigeria win with a probability of 37.1%. A draw has a probability of 32% and a win for Rwanda has a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Rwanda win it is 1-0 (13.48%).
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Nigeria |
30.9% ( -0.05) | 32% ( -0.09) | 37.1% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 36.91% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.98% ( 0.23) | 71.02% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.12% ( 0.14) | 87.88% ( -0.15) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.53% ( 0.09) | 41.46% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.03% ( 0.08) | 77.97% ( -0.09) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% ( 0.23) | 36.95% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.26% ( 0.23) | 73.73% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rwanda | Draw | Nigeria |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 30.9% | 0-0 @ 15.32% ( -0.13) 1-1 @ 13.42% 2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.99% | 0-1 @ 15.25% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.1% |
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