SM
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for North Korea has a probability of 28.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest North Korea win is 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.3%).
| Result | ||
| North Korea | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
28.74% ( 4.84) | 25.86% ( 1.95) | 45.4% ( -6.8) |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% ( -4.57) | 51.72% ( 4.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.51% ( -4.11) | 73.49% ( 4.11) |
| North Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( 1.48) | 32.52% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.95% ( 1.62) | 69.05% ( -1.62) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( -4.69) | 22.73% ( 4.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( -7.47) | 56.41% ( 7.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Korea | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 1.69) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.8)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 1.09)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.46)Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.74% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.97) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 1.26)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.59)0-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.88)1-3 @ 4.5% ( -1.04)0-3 @ 4.01% ( -1.13)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.46)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.71)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.72)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.34)Other @ 2.11% Total : 45.4% |
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