World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 20, 2025 at 12am UK

Khalifa International Stadium

Qatar
vs.
North Korea

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and North Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Kuwait 1-1 Qatar
Friday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

North Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Jordan 1-1 North Korea
Friday, March 14 at 6.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

With Qatar conceding five times last time out, North Korea will back themselves to upset the odds in Doha. However, we feel that the home side's greater attacking talents may come to the fore to earn them a crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Qatar win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw has a probability of 24.1% and a win for North Korea has a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.43%), while for a North Korea win it is 0-1 (6.75%).

Result
Qatar	Draw	North Korea
52.56% ( -0.4)	24.07% ( 0.25)	23.36% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.64% (

-0.88)

48.36% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.49% (

-0.81)

70.51% (

0.81)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

-0.49)

18.36% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.52% (

-0.83)

49.48% (

0.83)

North Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87% (

-0.35)

35.13% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.12% (

-0.37)

71.88% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Qatar 52.56%

North Korea 23.36%

Draw 24.07%

Qatar	Draw	North Korea
1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.56%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.36%