World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 20, 2025 at 12am UK

Azadi Stadium, Tehran

Iran
vs.
UAE

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

Last Game: North Korea 2-3 Iran
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

United Arab Emirates

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: UAE 1-1 Oman
Friday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

We say: Iran 2-1 United Arab Emirates

Iran have not lost any of their games in Group A, and they will be feeling motivated to keep ahead of Uzbekistan in midweek. Expect Team Melli to take all three points in this match, but given their recent defensive displays, UAE are likely to be on the scoresheet and make it a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw has a probability of 21.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates has a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.11%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it is 0-1 (5.25%).

Result
Iran	Draw	United Arab Emirates
63.68% ( 0.88)	21.29% ( -0.39)	15.03% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 47.39% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.5% (

0.67)

48.5% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.37% (

0.61)

70.63% (

-0.61)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43% (

0.5)

14.57% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.37% (

0.96)

42.63% (

-0.96)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.47% (

-0.28)

44.53% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.44% (

-0.22)

80.56% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Iran 63.67%

United Arab Emirates 15.03%

Draw 21.29%

Iran	Draw	United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.35% Total : 63.67%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.29%	0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.03%