SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nigeria win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw has a probability of 22.8% and a win for Zimbabwe has a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.97%) and 3-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (10.13%), while for a Zimbabwe win it is 0-1 (5.78%).
| Result | ||
| Nigeria | Draw | Zimbabwe |
65.39% ( -0.43) | 22.78% ( 0.32) | 11.83% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 35.67% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.11% ( -0.78) | 59.89% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.85% ( -0.6) | 80.16% ( 0.61) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( -0.44) | 17.92% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.27% ( -0.76) | 48.74% ( 0.76) |
| Zimbabwe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.46% ( -0.27) | 56.55% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.22% ( -0.15) | 88.79% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nigeria | Draw | Zimbabwe |
| 1-0 @ 17.42% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 14.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.53% Total : 65.39% | 0-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.29) 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.57% Total : 11.83% |
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