MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 22:06:33
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Tuesday, March 25
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NM
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tose Proeski Arena
WN

N. Macedonia
1 - 1
Wales

Miovski (90+1')
Serafimov (45+2'), Miovski (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brooks (90+6')
Rodon (80'), James (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-3 N. Macedonia
Saturday, March 22 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 3-1 Kazakhstan
Saturday, March 22 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

We said: North Macedonia 1-1 Wales

Albeit against lower-ranked opponents, North Macedonia have been flying for several months now - and they boast several threats across the final third. So, an improving Wales side will have to tread carefully away to one of their main Group J rivals, and they might end up being grateful to take one point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a North Macedonia win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw has a probability of 28.5% and a win for Wales has a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Wales win it is 0-1 (10.23%).

Result
North MacedoniaDrawWales
44.26% (-2.104 -2.1) 28.46% (0.337 0.34) 27.28% (1.764 1.76)
Both teams to score 43.88% (0.328 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.13% (-0.199 -0.2)61.86% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.36% (-0.148 -0.15)81.63% (0.146 0.15)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-1.182 -1.18)27.87% (1.181 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (-1.536 -1.54)63.47% (1.535 1.54)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84% (1.429 1.43)39.16% (-1.431 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (1.315 1.32)75.87% (-1.317 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 44.26%
    Wales 27.28%
    Draw 28.46%
North MacedoniaDrawWales
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.545 -0.55)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.368 -0.37)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 10.91% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.464 0.46)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.312 0.31)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.393 0.39)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.167 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.176 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 27.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-3 N. Macedonia
Saturday, March 22 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-0 Faroe Islands
Sunday, November 17 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-0 Latvia
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Armenia 0-2 N. Macedonia
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Latvia 0-3 N. Macedonia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Macedonia 2-0 Armenia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Wales 3-1 Kazakhstan
Saturday, March 22 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Wales 4-1 Iceland
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 0-0 Wales
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Wales 1-0 Montenegro
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Iceland 2-2 Wales
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Montenegro 1-2 Wales
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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