SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for North Macedonia in this match.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Faroe Islands |
67.15% ( 1.48) | 20.73% ( -0.73) | 12.11% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 41.52% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.79% ( 1.19) | 52.21% ( -1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( 1.02) | 73.92% ( -1.01) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% ( 0.87) | 14.68% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.16% ( 1.64) | 42.84% ( -1.64) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.66% ( -0.53) | 51.34% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.43% ( -0.35) | 85.57% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 1-0 @ 14.46% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.05% Total : 67.15% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.73% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.2% Total : 12.11% |
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