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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Robert Champroux
KN

Gambia
vs.
Kenya

 
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Gambia and Kenya.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Gambia
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Kenya
Tuesday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gambia win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Kenya has a probability of 33.16% and a draw has a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Kenya win is 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.19%).

Result
GambiaDrawKenya
38.68% (0.073 0.07) 28.16% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 33.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 47.05% (-0.212 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.95% (-0.25 -0.25)59.05% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.195 -0.2)79.51% (0.191 0.19)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)29.62% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (-0.1 -0.1)65.66% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.226 -0.23)33.14% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.249 -0.25)69.74% (0.24499999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 38.68%
    Kenya 33.16%
    Draw 28.16%
GambiaDrawKenya
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.27% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 38.68%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.16%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Gambia
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-2 Comoros
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, October 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Gambia
Friday, October 11 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-2 Tunisia
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Gambia
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Kenya
Tuesday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-1 Kenya
Saturday, January 4 at 5.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Namibia
Tuesday, November 19 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zimbabwe 1-1 Kenya
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 0-1 Cameroon
Monday, October 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cameroon 4-1 Kenya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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