SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 72.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.3%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Seychelles |
72.26% ( -0.18) | 18.73% ( 0.04) | 9% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 36.99% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% ( 0.19) | 52.2% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% ( 0.16) | 73.9% ( -0.16) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( 0) | 13.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.24% ( 0.01) | 39.76% ( -0.01) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.57% ( 0.41) | 57.42% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.72% ( 0.23) | 89.27% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gambia | Draw | Seychelles |
| 2-0 @ 15.53% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 15.3% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 72.25% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.73% | 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.31% Total : 9% |
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