SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Comoros has a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 0-1 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (12.39%), while for a Comoros win it is 1-0 (8.65%).
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Mali |
18.78% ( -0.07) | 27.67% ( -0) | 53.55% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 37.73% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.71% ( -0.06) | 65.29% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.91% ( -0.04) | 84.09% ( 0.04) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.12) | 49.75% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.52% ( -0.08) | 84.48% ( 0.08) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( 0.01) | 24.91% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( 0.01) | 59.54% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.78% | 0-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 17.22% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 11.96% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 53.54% |
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