SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 1-0 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central African Republic | Draw | Mali |
22.07% ( -0.12) | 27.42% ( -0.04) | 50.51% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 42.19% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.26% ( 0.03) | 61.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.45% ( 0.02) | 81.54% ( -0.02) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.04% ( -0.11) | 43.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.91% ( -0.09) | 80.09% ( 0.09) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% ( 0.09) | 24.71% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.74% ( 0.12) | 59.26% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central African Republic | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.07% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 15.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.61% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 50.5% |
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