SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Seychelles |
63.38% ( -3.68) | 19.85% ( 0.62) | 16.76% ( 3.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.17% ( 5.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.15% ( 3.48) | 38.84% ( -3.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.84% ( 3.57) | 61.15% ( -3.58) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.34% ( 0.02) | 11.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.28% ( 0.06) | 36.71% ( -0.07) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( 6.2) | 36.41% ( -6.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.8% ( 5.77) | 73.19% ( -5.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burundi | Draw | Seychelles |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -1.67)1-0 @ 9.12% ( -1.57)3-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 7.02% ( -1.19)4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.63)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.6)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.32)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.27)Other @ 4.08% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.83)0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.74)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.36)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.77) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.5)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.46)Other @ 2.4% Total : 16.76% |
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