SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw has a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burundi has a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.82%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Burundi win it is 1-0 (6.2%).
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Ivory Coast |
13.79% ( -0.17) | 23.38% ( -0.16) | 62.83% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 38.9% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.58% ( 0.26) | 58.42% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.98% ( 0.2) | 79.02% ( -0.21) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.61% ( -0.1) | 52.39% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.74% ( -0.07) | 86.26% ( 0.06) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( 0.22) | 18.3% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.62% ( 0.37) | 49.38% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burundi | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.19% Total : 13.79% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 16.28% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 13.82% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.83% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 62.82% |
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