SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 85.13%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Chad had a probability of 3.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.22%) and 1-0 (13.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.39%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Chad |
85.13% ( 0.05) | 11.48% ( 0.05) | 3.39% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 27.41% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% ( -0.88) | 44.1% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% ( -0.87) | 66.48% ( 0.87) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.34% ( -0.18) | 7.66% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.66% ( -0.46) | 27.34% ( 0.46) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 29.68% ( -1.06) | 70.32% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 4.92% ( -0.38) | 95.08% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Chad |
| 2-0 @ 17.77% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 15.22% ( 0.17)1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.4)4-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.56% Total : 85.11% | 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 11.48% | 0-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 3.39% |
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