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Tuesday, March 25
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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
UN

Bolivia
0 - 0
Uruguay


Medina (61')
FT

Ugarte (42'), Bentancur (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Peru 3-1 Bolivia
Friday, March 21 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129
All competitions
Last Game: Uruguay 0-1 Argentina
Friday, March 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129

We said: Bolivia 1-1 Uruguay

This is a game that will hinge solely on how Uruguay adapt to the altitude at El Alto, and Colombia's troubles here at the end of last year suggest it could be a struggle. However, Bolivia have lost that spark they had a few months ago after a few humbling defeats on the road, and the disappointment of throwing two points away late on against Paraguay, who proved that visiting teams can be competitive here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolivia win with a probability of 35.57%. A win for Uruguay has a probability of 34.75% and a draw has a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Uruguay win is 0-1 (12.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.47%).

Result
BoliviaDrawUruguay
35.57% (-0.242 -0.24) 29.67% (-0.233 -0.23) 34.75% (0.468 0.47)
Both teams to score 43.01% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.94% (0.747 0.75)64.05% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.77% (0.527 0.53)83.22% (-0.53200000000001 -0.53)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86% (0.238 0.24)34.13% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17% (0.254 0.25)70.82% (-0.259 -0.26)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.31% (0.724 0.72)34.69% (-0.731 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58% (0.76 0.76)71.41% (-0.767 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 35.57%
    Uruguay 34.75%
    Draw 29.66%
BoliviaDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.57%
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.83% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.66%
0-1 @ 12.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 34.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peru 3-1 Bolivia
Friday, March 21 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 2-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, November 19 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 4-0 Bolivia
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 6-0 Bolivia
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 1-0 Colombia
Thursday, October 10 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-1 Argentina
Friday, March 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Uruguay
Wednesday, November 20 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 3-2 Colombia
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Uruguay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 10 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America


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