SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
61.28% ( -0.04) | 20.27% ( -0.16) | 18.44% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( 1.07) | 37.83% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% ( 1.14) | 60.08% ( -1.14) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.07% ( 0.32) | 11.92% ( -0.32) |
