SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 81.88%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 6.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
81.88% ( -0.24) | 11.14% ( 0.13) | 6.97% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.2) | 22.43% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.51% ( -0.28) | 41.48% ( 0.28) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.93% ( -0.07) | 4.07% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 82.9% ( -0.23) | 17.09% ( 0.23) |
| Everton Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% ( 0.12) | 40.88% ( -0.12) |
