SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
18.36% ( 0.07) | 20.14% ( 0.04) | 61.49% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.53% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.67% ( -0.05) | 37.32% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.46% ( -0.06) | 59.54% ( 0.05) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( 0.04) | 33.69% ( -0.05) |
