SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Women win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
37.47% ( 0.12) | 25.17% ( 0.01) | 37.35% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( -0.05) | 46.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( -0.05) | 68.72% ( 0.05) |
| Crystal Palace Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( 0.04) | 24.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% ( 0.06) | 58.77% ( -0.06) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( -0.09) | 24.43% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% ( -0.13) | 58.86% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 37.35% |
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