SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus Women win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
39.67% ( 0.25) | 23.87% ( -0.07) | 36.46% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.7% ( 0.34) | 40.29% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.33% ( 0.35) | 62.66% ( -0.35) |
| Juventus Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( 0.26) | 20.54% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.95% ( 0.41) | 53.04% ( -0.42) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( 0.06) | 22.11% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.51% ( 0.09) | 55.48% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.67% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 77 | 34 | 43 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 59 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 50 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
| 9 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Brentford | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
| 13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 34 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 33 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 28 |
| 18 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
| 19 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 27 |
| 20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
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