Juventus Women 2-1 Lyon Women - Women's Champions League Quarter-Finals - Football

Juventus lost 6-2 on aggregate to Lyon in the round of 32 of last season's Champions League, but the Italian Champions have already demonstrated in the group phase that they can compete with the very best, and we think Lyon will have to be content with a draw in Turin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus Women win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 38.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (4.87%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus Women in this match.

Result
Juventus Women	Draw	Lyon Women
38.83%	22.69%	38.48%

Both teams to score 66.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.77%

34.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.88%

56.12%

Juventus Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.69%

18.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.61%

49.39%

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53%

18.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.34%

49.66%

Score Analysis

Juventus Women 38.83%

Lyon Women 38.48%

Draw 22.69%

Juventus Women	Draw	Lyon Women
2-1 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 5.74% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.88% Total : 38.83%	1-1 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 6.95% 0-0 @ 3.38% 3-3 @ 2.22% Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 5.71% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 4.61% 2-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.15% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.83% Total : 38.48%