Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.67%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.