SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
60.81% ( -3.28) | 22.22% ( 1.19) | 16.97% ( 2.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% ( -1.19) | 48.92% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% ( -1.08) | 71.01% ( 1.08) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -1.44) | 15.63% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.36% ( -2.74) | 44.64% ( 2.74) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.78% ( 2.06) | 42.21% ( -2.06) |
