Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 93.47%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 1.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.71%) and 2-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.37%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
93.47% ( 0.04) | 4.99% ( -0.03) | 1.53% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 33.75% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.17% ( 0.08) | 20.82% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.74% ( 0.11) | 39.26% ( -0.11) |
Arsenal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.74% ( 0.02) | 2.26% ( -0.01) |