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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
33.74% ( 0.2) | 24.82% ( -0.01) | 41.43% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% ( 0.11) | 45.3% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.36% ( 0.1) | 67.64% ( -0.11) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( 0.17) | 25.95% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.04% ( 0.23) | 60.96% ( -0.23) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -0.04) | 21.86% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% ( -0.06) | 55.09% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.74% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.44% |
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