SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
35.01% ( -0.13) | 25.7% ( 0.02) | 39.29% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.02% ( -0.09) | 48.97% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( -0.09) | 71.06% ( 0.09) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( -0.13) | 26.95% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.72% ( -0.17) | 62.28% ( 0.17) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( 0.02) | 24.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.97% ( 0.03) | 59.03% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 83 | 8 | 75 | 60 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 41 |
| 5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 25 |
| R | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 24 |
| 10 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 22 |
| 11 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
| R | Airbus UK BroughtonAirbus UK | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 66 | -53 | -2 |
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