SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
66.25% ( -0.74) | 18.7% ( -0.13) | 15.04% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( 2.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.15% ( 2.63) | 36.86% ( -2.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.97% ( 2.79) | 59.03% ( -2.79) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.66% ( 0.55) | 10.34% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.19% ( 1.23) | 33.81% ( -1.22) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.7% ( 2.86) | 37.3% ( -2.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.92% ( 2.72) | 74.09% ( -2.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.82) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.94)3-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.35)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.24)5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.9% Total : 66.25% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.36)0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.52)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.12% Total : 15.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 83 | 8 | 75 | 60 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 41 |
| 5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 24 |
| 10 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 22 |
| 11 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Airbus UK BroughtonAirbus UK | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 66 | -53 | -2 |
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