SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
50.16% ( -0.35) | 23.79% ( 0.12) | 26.05% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( -0.35) | 44.72% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( -0.34) | 67.08% ( 0.34) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( -0.27) | 17.9% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.3% ( -0.46) | 48.7% ( 0.45) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( -0.01) | 30.9% ( 0.01) |
