SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Bala Town |
28.75% ( 0.44) | 23.81% ( 0.03) | 47.44% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.15% ( 0.15) | 42.85% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.75% ( 0.15) | 65.25% ( -0.15) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( 0.38) | 27.94% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.43% ( 0.48) | 63.57% ( -0.48) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% ( -0.12) | 18.24% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.72% ( -0.21) | 49.28% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.75% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 45 | 10 | 35 | 35 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bala TownBala Town | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
| 9 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 12 |
| 11 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 |
| 12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 8 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
