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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
22.2% ( -0.01) | 23.95% ( 0.03) | 53.85% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( -0.15) | 49.03% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( -0.14) | 71.11% ( 0.14) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% ( -0.1) | 36.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.63% ( -0.1) | 73.37% ( 0.1) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( -0.07) | 18.12% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.92% ( -0.11) | 49.08% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.2% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 32 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Bala TownBala Town | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 19 |
| 7 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
| 9 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 9 |
| 11 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 28 | -22 | 5 |
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