Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
